2026-08-05
NIST · Post-Quantum Cryptography Project
Current standards, migration guidance, and standardization pipeline.
Evidence register · Reviewed 19 Aug 2026
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Every substantive current claim should lead back to a dated source. These are the primary records used in the current release.
2026-08-05
Open source ↗
2026-08-05
NIST · Post-Quantum Cryptography Overview
Current public overview and migration guidance, including the HAWK withdrawal.
2024-11-12
NIST · IR 8547: Transition to Post-Quantum Cryptography Standards (Initial Public Draft)
Proposed transition timeline for deprecating quantum-vulnerable algorithms.
2024-08-13
NIST · FIPS 203: Module-Lattice-Based Key-Encapsulation Mechanism Standard
The ML-KEM standard and its three parameter sets.
2024-08-13
NIST · FIPS 204: Module-Lattice-Based Digital Signature Standard
The ML-DSA digital signature standard.
2024-08-13
NIST · FIPS 205: Stateless Hash-Based Digital Signature Standard
The SLH-DSA hash-based digital signature standard.
2025-03-11
NIST · NIST Selects HQC as Fifth Algorithm for Post-Quantum Encryption
Selection of HQC as a backup key-encapsulation mechanism.
Living project
NCCoE / NIST · Migration to Post-Quantum Cryptography
Migration practices, discovery, interoperability, and implementation guidance.
2024-12-09
Nature · Quantum error correction below the surface code threshold
A below-threshold surface-code memory demonstration on Google Quantum AI's Willow processors.
2019-05-23
Gidney & Ekerå · How to factor 2048 bit RSA integers in 8 hours using 20 million noisy qubits
A resource estimate under explicit superconducting surface-code assumptions.
2025-05-21
Craig Gidney · How to factor 2048 bit RSA integers with less than a million noisy qubits
A newer resource estimate using changed arithmetic, storage, and distillation assumptions.
2024-12-06
Global Risk Institute · Quantum Threat Timeline Report 2024
A survey of 32 quantum-computing experts, including probability ranges for a CRQC within 10 and 15 years.
2026-03-09
Global Risk Institute · Quantum Threat Timeline Report 2025
The latest expert survey: a CRQC is assessed as 28–49% likely within 10 years and 51–70% likely within 15 years.
2026-03-25
Google · Quantum frontiers may be closer than they appear
Google set 2029 as its company-wide PQC migration deadline in response to progress in hardware, error correction, and factoring estimates.
2026-03-01
IBM · Quantum 2030 — IBM Technology Atlas
IBM targets a 200-logical-qubit, 100-million-gate fault-tolerant system for 2029.
2025-02-21
Gartner · How to Mitigate the Cryptography Risks Posed by Quantum Computing
Gartner research states an expectation that quantum computing will break public-key cryptographic algorithms by 2029.
2026-08-01
IonQ · Industry-leading quantum roadmap
IonQ's current roadmap targets 80,000 logical qubits by 2030, with 8,000 logical qubits targeted for 2029.
1997-10-01
SIAM · Polynomial-Time Algorithms for Prime Factorization and Discrete Logarithms on a Quantum Computer
The foundational published treatment of Shor's algorithm.